The Tour Championship preview

Hi all.                   Balance: -$125

Recapping the last event.

Kooch was never likely after starting solidly enough, he just didn't get it done. As stated previously, golf betting is extremely difficult and past form can stand for nought when you arrive at the first tee Thursday.

I am hanging my hat on my hail Mary roughie selection, Robert Garrigus. I suggested top 10, which returned 20-1. But if you had somehow gone each way (or top 5), you would have got a return of 40-1 after he stormed home on Sunday. I can honestly say I didn't back him, but wished I had!

To this week. Not much to say about this week because I'm not betting in a 30 man field.

Stating the obvious but Rory just wins. I've had a look at the stats and I can't see how he loses. He will need to be at his best, but he has lately and perhaps only the week's break can bring him undone. Tiger obvious danger but again, form is only relevant to your last start and if he doesn't catch fire, he can't win.

Like I said I'm not betting because my top tip is as short as $5.50 with some agencies.

I will make one call. Steve Stricker showed somewhat of a return to form last week, so throw him in a multi over the weekend to finish top 10 ($2.35). Almost seems incredible you can bet top 10 with such a small field and that seems great value.

Congrats to the man of the hour at Royal Axedale, Sexy, on his course record 65 & club championship win. Awesome display.

Good golfing and punting this weekend.

Disco

The BMW Preview issue 5 2012

G'day all,                                                                               Running total:  $100

A short turnaround from the late finish last week, so let's jump into the recap.

Louis, Louis, Louis. It was yours (and therefore ours) for the taking. It was hard to watch you shoot an even par round on the final day when a lazy 2 under 69 would have made all of us very happy.

I'm reluctant to say that "we got a run for our money" last week because I'd rather he miss the cut than go down to the last hole, if the end result is going to be the same. But just the same, we are getting closer, so fingers crossed a W is just around the corner.

Anyway, as they say in the classics, there's always next week, so lets take a look at the BMW.

The BMW Championships.

It seems widely known that this weeks event is a bombers paradise, but I am shying away from that a little.

I am going with a guy I have a lot of time for - Matt Kuchar ($51). Kooch is the all american good guy - clean cut (that I am aware of), always smiling and genuinely seems happy to be playing golf for a living.

There are reasons for my selection, as always:

He doesn't hit it a mile, granted, but he does hit 2/3rds of all fairways and greens and that will be just as important as smashing it out there 300 this week.

His all around stats rank him 11th, which shows that while not leading any particular category, he is solid in all areas. If he gets the flat stick going, he can be dangerous (as can 500 other blokes on tour).

He is a winner (4 times career), and by that I mean he usually performs well at the bigger events. Look at his recent history and his best performances come at the Masters, Bridgestone etc, WGC's and majors where the cream rises.

He's had a T10 and T3 in the past three years here, so at $51 for a bloke sitting 13th in Fedex Cup points, lets have a crack at him. $20 will return a lovely big hairy gorilla mid morning Monday (australian time).

I'm going to have a saver on Bubba at $34, which covers the bombers theory. Good enough to win the Masters, good enough to win here. And possibly fresh after missing the cut last week. Our last $5 on him will get us back in the black overall.

Others to keep an eye are Keegan, Jeff Overton and a bloke at $151, Robert Garrigus. Terrible putter, but does golf his ball well and long off the tee. Maybe top 10 chance.

Shout out to a couple of golfing buddies of mine - Buttsy, congrats on the safe arrival of Macey during the week (sign her up for the LPGA now if pedigree is anything to go by) and to Sexy, who is attempting to win the local club championship for a record 11th time. Fantastic effort.

Good luck, good punting and good golfing.