Thursday, 18 October 2012

McGladrey Preview

Hello again golf fans.                         Balance: -$150 ( this includes the $25 that is already lost on some poor bugger called Chris Wood)

I don't want to hear any more talk of tipping golfers that aren't actually playing.

To the McGladrey event in the US.

It's a little stronger field this week, but I am claiming a win last week because I don't think I would have selected Blixt in my top 10, despite his recent good form. I guess all rookies have to break through at some point, but try telling that to Jeff Overton. 188 starts without a win. Can play though, so surely his time will come. One day. Not this week.

Ok. I've had a liking for my top tip this week for some time because he hits it a tonne and that's Gary Woodland ($41). He's had a frustrating year. Injury curtailed much of the early part of the year ( think it was his wrist, can anybody confirm/ deny??) and lately he's undergone some swing changes, so he is probably up against it. But he's fully qualified for next season and sometimes that will free a bloke up to play his best golf. He showed enough last week to suggest there is a little something there, so the first $15 is on him, straight out. He hit almost 70% of greens and fairways last week to get his best result for the year. Let's hope he builds on that and carries the momentum into this week.

The last $10 will be invested on a bloke with a putter as hot as my own, Martin Flores ($81). I read somewhere this week that he has leapt up the rankings of strokes gained putting, so did some research of mine and its true! He could be described as middle of the road in the past but his stats of recent times indicate that he has done some work with the flat stick. Here it comes again, but if he can hit a high% of greens, he has to be some sort of chance. His best results have been when he has got close to or better than 70% GIR, so fingers crossed he can achieve numbers like that this week.

Good luck if you're having a flutter this week and also on the course.

Cheers

Disco

Wednesday, 17 October 2012

Perth international preview

Hi all,

Just a quick thought on the event starting in Perth in a few hours time.

Its hard to get a gauge on a formline as this is a new event. But obviously there is some talent in the field headed by Jason Dufner, who has had a stellar year, although from the point I selected him a month or so ago, he's dropped away a little. And you have to rate big hitting American Bo van Pelt, another to have a solid year. These two head the betting which is no surprise, but as usual I'm looking for a bit of value.

Lake Karinyup is a fantastic track and with the weather tipped to be sunny for the majority of the tournament, their beautiful greens are likely to speed up over the four days. I've realised it lately in my own game that if you putt well, you invariably score well.

So with that as my mantra, I'm tipping Chris Wood @ $101. This guy rates as one of the best putters I've ever seen and his stats back that up, so if he can hit enough greens (as always a big if with many players), he's a huge chance IMO. Almost incredibly, you can get $51 the place (top 5), so perhaps that is a smarter option. Fingers crossed.

I'm also going to make mention of two mates of mine teeing it up, Andrew Martin and Kris Mueck. Both have the potential to post low numbers as shown by Kris least week at Kalgoorlie with a final round 7 under 65. At $126 & $151 respectively, personally I think they a touch unders. I would love to be proven wrong and wish both boys the very best of luck. Look forward to setting them both on Fox sports during the coverage!

A separate post will be uploaded later for the US event.

Cheers

Disco

Thursday, 11 October 2012

Fry's.com preview

Hi all.                                  Balance -$125

Last weeks recap.

No changes to the tally last week as Kyle Stanley was a late withdrawal.

To this week.

I have done the form, read the so called experts thoughts and I am no clearer in my opinion of who will win this second rate tournament. That's perhaps a bit harsh, because there are some quality players amongst the field, but there are plenty of blokes that simply can't win. In theory that should narrow it down and make it easier to find the winner, but I think it makes it harder because I'm not sure how many " winners" there are in the field.

So... call me soft, but I won't be having a bet. Yes I know, i know. But as much as I love a punt, i can't bring myself to plonk $25 on someone just for the sake of it. I can hear everybody bagging me, but i think its smart. Leaves the cash for the races as well!

Ok. So if I had got my act together earlier, i would have done some form for the Portugal masters. I had the quickest of looks and I like Alex Noren. I have not looked at the early scores, so I may look like a genius already, but most likely a goose.

Stay tuned for next week though, because I have some early thoughts on the Perth International.

Congrats again to the main man at the Royal Axedale tourney, Lexdale, who shot 70-71 to win the J G Mill cup. Well played son.

Till next week, good luck if having a wager or a whack this weekend.

Cheers

Disco

Thursday, 4 October 2012

JT Shriners preview

Short and sharp this week. Time has been against me all week.

This week is almost a Web.com event, the strength of the field lies in the players that can compete on the bigger stage.

That's why I'm with Kyle Stanley @ $34. He finished 31st in FedEx Cup standings and was tied 10th in this event last year. He started really well this year with a 2 & then a win in Phoenix, so if he can recapture that sort of form, he will dominate this.

Best of luck to the Bendigo DGA in the last round of Country week tomorrow and to all those teeing it up at Royal Axedale this Sunday.

Cheers