NZ Open

Hi again all, Short and sharp. NZ Open. Not the strongest field ever assembled, but somebody still has to win it. This week features a special celebrity tipster, Mr Horatio Butts. There's not a huge amount that can be said about this guy, but suffice to say, he knows his stuff. So much so, that I agree with his selection. Michael Hendry $9 is a clear top pick. Played very well last week at the Masters and with everything being equal, will not have any trouble putting away this field. Dubai. Martin Kaymer $16 is due. Long overdue. Quality player who has shown some recent form and a win here would turn around a poor year by his standards.Each way all day top five at that price. Japan Casio. KT Kim $11. Sometimes you just throw away the form guide and pick names and I like this bloke ever since he was out here for the Presidents cup. I honestly have no idea how his form stacks up for this, but who cares? So if you take all three you get somewhere around the 1200-1 range. Nice. I would also like to make mention of two mates paying in NZ, Andy and Kris. Good luck men, bring me back some Velcro gloves...along with the trophy and the cash. And best wishes to all heading off on the golf trip tomorrow from my local club. There is a book being run, but there isn't a corporate bookie on the planet that would touch it. Although Ollie might know someone... Until next time, good golfing and punting.

McGladrey Preview

Hello again golf fans.                         Balance: -$150 ( this includes the $25 that is already lost on some poor bugger called Chris Wood)

I don't want to hear any more talk of tipping golfers that aren't actually playing.

To the McGladrey event in the US.

It's a little stronger field this week, but I am claiming a win last week because I don't think I would have selected Blixt in my top 10, despite his recent good form. I guess all rookies have to break through at some point, but try telling that to Jeff Overton. 188 starts without a win. Can play though, so surely his time will come. One day. Not this week.

Ok. I've had a liking for my top tip this week for some time because he hits it a tonne and that's Gary Woodland ($41). He's had a frustrating year. Injury curtailed much of the early part of the year ( think it was his wrist, can anybody confirm/ deny??) and lately he's undergone some swing changes, so he is probably up against it. But he's fully qualified for next season and sometimes that will free a bloke up to play his best golf. He showed enough last week to suggest there is a little something there, so the first $15 is on him, straight out. He hit almost 70% of greens and fairways last week to get his best result for the year. Let's hope he builds on that and carries the momentum into this week.

The last $10 will be invested on a bloke with a putter as hot as my own, Martin Flores ($81). I read somewhere this week that he has leapt up the rankings of strokes gained putting, so did some research of mine and its true! He could be described as middle of the road in the past but his stats of recent times indicate that he has done some work with the flat stick. Here it comes again, but if he can hit a high% of greens, he has to be some sort of chance. His best results have been when he has got close to or better than 70% GIR, so fingers crossed he can achieve numbers like that this week.

Good luck if you're having a flutter this week and also on the course.

Cheers

Disco

Perth international preview

Hi all,

Just a quick thought on the event starting in Perth in a few hours time.

Its hard to get a gauge on a formline as this is a new event. But obviously there is some talent in the field headed by Jason Dufner, who has had a stellar year, although from the point I selected him a month or so ago, he's dropped away a little. And you have to rate big hitting American Bo van Pelt, another to have a solid year. These two head the betting which is no surprise, but as usual I'm looking for a bit of value.

Lake Karinyup is a fantastic track and with the weather tipped to be sunny for the majority of the tournament, their beautiful greens are likely to speed up over the four days. I've realised it lately in my own game that if you putt well, you invariably score well.

So with that as my mantra, I'm tipping Chris Wood @ $101. This guy rates as one of the best putters I've ever seen and his stats back that up, so if he can hit enough greens (as always a big if with many players), he's a huge chance IMO. Almost incredibly, you can get $51 the place (top 5), so perhaps that is a smarter option. Fingers crossed.

I'm also going to make mention of two mates of mine teeing it up, Andrew Martin and Kris Mueck. Both have the potential to post low numbers as shown by Kris least week at Kalgoorlie with a final round 7 under 65. At $126 & $151 respectively, personally I think they a touch unders. I would love to be proven wrong and wish both boys the very best of luck. Look forward to setting them both on Fox sports during the coverage!

A separate post will be uploaded later for the US event.

Cheers

Disco

Fry's.com preview

Hi all.                                  Balance -$125

Last weeks recap.

No changes to the tally last week as Kyle Stanley was a late withdrawal.

To this week.

I have done the form, read the so called experts thoughts and I am no clearer in my opinion of who will win this second rate tournament. That's perhaps a bit harsh, because there are some quality players amongst the field, but there are plenty of blokes that simply can't win. In theory that should narrow it down and make it easier to find the winner, but I think it makes it harder because I'm not sure how many " winners" there are in the field.

So... call me soft, but I won't be having a bet. Yes I know, i know. But as much as I love a punt, i can't bring myself to plonk $25 on someone just for the sake of it. I can hear everybody bagging me, but i think its smart. Leaves the cash for the races as well!

Ok. So if I had got my act together earlier, i would have done some form for the Portugal masters. I had the quickest of looks and I like Alex Noren. I have not looked at the early scores, so I may look like a genius already, but most likely a goose.

Stay tuned for next week though, because I have some early thoughts on the Perth International.

Congrats again to the main man at the Royal Axedale tourney, Lexdale, who shot 70-71 to win the J G Mill cup. Well played son.

Till next week, good luck if having a wager or a whack this weekend.

Cheers

Disco

JT Shriners preview

Short and sharp this week. Time has been against me all week.

This week is almost a Web.com event, the strength of the field lies in the players that can compete on the bigger stage.

That's why I'm with Kyle Stanley @ $34. He finished 31st in FedEx Cup standings and was tied 10th in this event last year. He started really well this year with a 2 & then a win in Phoenix, so if he can recapture that sort of form, he will dominate this.

Best of luck to the Bendigo DGA in the last round of Country week tomorrow and to all those teeing it up at Royal Axedale this Sunday.

Cheers

The Tour Championship preview

Hi all.                   Balance: -$125

Recapping the last event.

Kooch was never likely after starting solidly enough, he just didn't get it done. As stated previously, golf betting is extremely difficult and past form can stand for nought when you arrive at the first tee Thursday.

I am hanging my hat on my hail Mary roughie selection, Robert Garrigus. I suggested top 10, which returned 20-1. But if you had somehow gone each way (or top 5), you would have got a return of 40-1 after he stormed home on Sunday. I can honestly say I didn't back him, but wished I had!

To this week. Not much to say about this week because I'm not betting in a 30 man field.

Stating the obvious but Rory just wins. I've had a look at the stats and I can't see how he loses. He will need to be at his best, but he has lately and perhaps only the week's break can bring him undone. Tiger obvious danger but again, form is only relevant to your last start and if he doesn't catch fire, he can't win.

Like I said I'm not betting because my top tip is as short as $5.50 with some agencies.

I will make one call. Steve Stricker showed somewhat of a return to form last week, so throw him in a multi over the weekend to finish top 10 ($2.35). Almost seems incredible you can bet top 10 with such a small field and that seems great value.

Congrats to the man of the hour at Royal Axedale, Sexy, on his course record 65 & club championship win. Awesome display.

Good golfing and punting this weekend.

Disco

The BMW Preview issue 5 2012

G'day all,                                                                               Running total:  $100

A short turnaround from the late finish last week, so let's jump into the recap.

Louis, Louis, Louis. It was yours (and therefore ours) for the taking. It was hard to watch you shoot an even par round on the final day when a lazy 2 under 69 would have made all of us very happy.

I'm reluctant to say that "we got a run for our money" last week because I'd rather he miss the cut than go down to the last hole, if the end result is going to be the same. But just the same, we are getting closer, so fingers crossed a W is just around the corner.

Anyway, as they say in the classics, there's always next week, so lets take a look at the BMW.

The BMW Championships.

It seems widely known that this weeks event is a bombers paradise, but I am shying away from that a little.

I am going with a guy I have a lot of time for - Matt Kuchar ($51). Kooch is the all american good guy - clean cut (that I am aware of), always smiling and genuinely seems happy to be playing golf for a living.

There are reasons for my selection, as always:

He doesn't hit it a mile, granted, but he does hit 2/3rds of all fairways and greens and that will be just as important as smashing it out there 300 this week.

His all around stats rank him 11th, which shows that while not leading any particular category, he is solid in all areas. If he gets the flat stick going, he can be dangerous (as can 500 other blokes on tour).

He is a winner (4 times career), and by that I mean he usually performs well at the bigger events. Look at his recent history and his best performances come at the Masters, Bridgestone etc, WGC's and majors where the cream rises.

He's had a T10 and T3 in the past three years here, so at $51 for a bloke sitting 13th in Fedex Cup points, lets have a crack at him. $20 will return a lovely big hairy gorilla mid morning Monday (australian time).

I'm going to have a saver on Bubba at $34, which covers the bombers theory. Good enough to win the Masters, good enough to win here. And possibly fresh after missing the cut last week. Our last $5 on him will get us back in the black overall.

Others to keep an eye are Keegan, Jeff Overton and a bloke at $151, Robert Garrigus. Terrible putter, but does golf his ball well and long off the tee. Maybe top 10 chance.

Shout out to a couple of golfing buddies of mine - Buttsy, congrats on the safe arrival of Macey during the week (sign her up for the LPGA now if pedigree is anything to go by) and to Sexy, who is attempting to win the local club championship for a record 11th time. Fantastic effort.

Good luck, good punting and good golfing.